All dealsPublic infrastructure / blended sovereign finance

ELMED

Tunisia / Italy

Why Europe is giving Tunisia €307.6m for a power cable to Italy

ELMED is a 600 MW interconnector across the Strait of Sicily. Its financing mixes an EU grant, an IBRD sovereign loan, concessional climate capital and loans from European development banks.

Under implementation — expected operation in 2028
TUNISIAITALY600 MW · ~200 km subsea
Capacity600 MW
Length~220 km~200 km subsea
EU CEF grant€307.6m
IBRD financing$268.4m
GCF financing$25m$20m concessional loan + $5m grant
Latest disclosed project cost€920mEarlier EU disclosure: €850m
THE 30-SECOND READ

Why use a €307.6m grant for an asset that can facilitate electricity trade?

ELMED is not simply 'aid to Tunisia'. It is simultaneously Tunisian grid investment, European energy-security policy and a cross-border market-integration project.

01

FOLLOW THE MONEY

Who pays — and why?

€307.6m

EU CEF grant

Construction grant shared across the cross-border project

$268.4m

IBRD loan

Tunisia-side converter and grid infrastructure

$20m + $5m

GCF loan + grant

Concessional climate finance and technical assistance

€45m

EBRD loan

Tunisia-side financing

€45m

EIB loan

Tunisia-side financing

€35m

KfW loan

Tunisia-side financing

ANALYST NOTE

Public disclosures mix EUR and USD and do not all cover the same project scope. Lyrios therefore shows the disclosed financing layers rather than forcing a false 100% capital stack. The Italian remainder is financed through Terna corporate debt and equity.

02

MECHANICS

How the deal becomes financeable

01

1. The network is a public good

The interconnector creates system-wide benefits that are difficult to capture through one private revenue stream: grid stability, renewable integration and cross-border security of supply.

02

2. Tunisia still borrows

The World Bank does not fund the Tunisian side only with grants. The $268.4m IBRD financing is debt: the public borrower must ultimately repay it.

03

3. Concessional capital targets the bottleneck

The GCF layer supports grid reinforcement and renewable integration, where climate benefits are larger than the cash flows directly captured by the project.

03

RISK ALLOCATION

If it goes wrong, who takes the hit?

RiskHolderMitigantResidual
Construction & interfaceSTEG / Terna / contractorsSplit implementation responsibilities; MDB oversight; dedicated project entitiesMEDIUM
Sovereign / execution capacityTunisia / public lendersLong-tenor multilateral financing and institutional supportMEDIUM
Cross-border regulationSTEG / Terna / regulatorsEU PMI framework and bilateral coordinationMEDIUM
Revenue / market designSystem operators / statesStrategic value is not dependent on a single merchant revenue lineMEDIUM
04

TIMELINE

The deal through time

2022

EU grant awarded

CEF allocates €307.6m to support construction.

2023

World Bank approval

$268.4m IBRD financing approved; GCF concessional financing mobilised.

2024

Project effective / European loans

World Bank project becomes effective; EBRD announces €45m alongside EIB and KfW.

2028

Expected operation

Current World Bank publications expect operations to begin in 2028.

05

ORDERS OF MAGNITUDE

Put the numbers in context

600 MW

Transfer capacity

Large enough to matter at national-system scale, not a demonstration cable.

€307.6m

EU grant

More than one-third of the latest €920m disclosed project cost — although the grant is shared across both sides of the interconnector.

6+

Public financiers

EU, World Bank, GCF, EBRD, EIB and KfW appear in the disclosed financing architecture.

06

LYRIOS VIEW

What this deal actually tells us

ELMED shows why the binary 'public vs private' debate is often too crude. The asset creates cross-border and system benefits that a single project company cannot fully monetise.

The political question is therefore not whether public money is present, but whether each public euro is paying for a genuine coordination or market failure rather than replacing finance that the market would have supplied anyway.

What we do not know — or not yet

Project-cost disclosures changed over time: CINEA cited €850m in 2023; EBRD cited €920m in 2024.

The EU grant is for the cross-border project and is split between Tunisia and Italy; it should not be presented as €307.6m paid solely to Tunisia.

07

SOURCES

Every material number should be traceable.

Priority goes to institutions, sponsors and project documents. Discrepancies are flagged rather than smoothed over.

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